
After Scottie Scheffler’s historic 2024 campaign coming on the heels of a 2023 season where he posted 17 Top-10’s in 23 starts, including 2 wins, a runner-up at The PGA and 2 more major Top-10’s, the inevitable Jack and Tiger comparisons began to sprout.

The notion that Scottie could mount a serious challenge to the career numbers accumulated by the two greatest players in history, however, still seemed nothing more than fantasy.
With his powerful start to the 2025 season, including a Top-5 at The Masters in April, a PGA Championship victory in May, and his win at The Memorial two weeks ago, the odds that Scheffler will etch his name among the 5 greatest players of All-Time when his career comes to a close have increased dramatically—and matching or even surpassing Tiger and Jack have become a real possibility.
The Beginning
Scottie came out on the PGA Tour in the Fall of 2019 at 23 years old after a year on the Korn Ferry Tour, where he recorded 10 Top-10’s in 20 starts with 2 wins. He was fast out of the gate, recording 4 Top-10s and 2 Top-20’s in his first 9 events without missing a cut, and it looked like he was getting ready to roll with a 3rd place finish at the American Express Championship in late January of 2020—and then the pandemic hit and blew everything up.
As COVID began to sweep across the country, Scottie missed the cut in 2 of the next 5 events he played without recording a Top-10—until the Tour closed completely with cancellation of The Players Championship.
When the season resumed amid a shut-down world devoid of live fans, Scottie missed the cut in 3 of the first 4 events, and just as he started to get going again with Top-5 finishes at the PGA and Tour Championships, he was forced to withdraw from the rescheduled U.S. Open in September after a positive COVID test.
Tiger was 21 when he started his pursuit of Jack with a two-year head start on Scottie. He had already won 2 major championships along with 13 Tour wins by the time he was 23, so Scheffler had a lot of ground to make up if he hoped to catch him–even before the Pandemic put him that much deeper in the hole.
Scottie Starts To Roll
Scheffler began to find his footing again in 2021 with Top-10’s in 3 of the 4 Majors, and then started rolling in ’22 with his first career win at the WM Phoenix Open in February, followed by a T10 at the Genesis, wins at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and Dell Match Play Championship in March, and his first major championship victory at The Masters in April.

In 2023 Scottie throttled up further with 17 Top-10 finishes in 23 starts, including a T2 at The PGA Championship, 3rd at The U.S. Open, a T-10 at The Masters—and 2 more wins including back-to-back in Phoenix and a dominating victory at The Players Championship.

While it would seem almost impossible to surpass 2023, the season Scheffler put together in 2024 stands among the greatest in history, with 16 Top-10’s in 19 starts without missing a cut and 7 wins including a second Masters championship, back-to-back wins at The Players, a T8 at the PGA and a T7 at The Open Championship.
The Chase Begins
Thus far in 2025 Scottie has recorded 9 Top-10’s in 12 starts without missing a cut, including a 4th at The Masters and his third major championship at the PGA.
While it may seem that Scottie is a long way behind Jack’s 18 major titles and Tiger’s 15, keep in mind that Scheffler is only 28 years old and only now entering his prime.
Including this week’s U.S. Open, Scottie will have 46 more major championships by the time he reaches 40 years old, and if he maintains his current pace will add 7 more majors for a total of 10—putting him solidly among the top 5 greatest of all time.

Keep in mind though that the projection of 10 major wins through 40 does not take into account that Scottie has elevated his performance each year, and if his current trajectory continues, 10 may well be a pretty conservative number (and both Jack and Tiger added an additional major after 40 years old as well).
Should Scottie win this weekend at Oakmont, his winning percentage at the majors will move up from 14.3% to 18.2%–pretty darn close to Jack and Tiger.
The U.S. Open is always one of the best weeks of the year for golf, and watching Scheffler set his sights on history is guaranteed to make for compelling theater.
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